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Mount St. Mary's MountaineersAbdou Khadre Kébé
#9 · G · 6' 7" · 170 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 9.7 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 8.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 14/100· model 59% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency50neutral
Projection
9.4 PTS(×1.02 context)
L5 10.2 · L10 9.4 · med 8.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 7.0 · ceil 12.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Season11 games
55%over
6 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 10/11 | ||
| 91% | 10/11 | ||
| 73% | 8/11 | ||
| 8.5Current | 55% | 6/11 | |
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 45% | 5/11 | ||
| 36% | 4/11 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day50%1/2Low
3+ days57%4/7Low
Last matchup — @ SIE
Mar 8, 2026
373rdof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
SIE allows 9.4 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 95 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Abdou Khadre Kébé has gone over 8.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. SIE has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 373rd-most PTS of 726 teams (9.4 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.