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Miami (OH) RedHawksBrant Byers
#22 · G · 6' 8" · 200 lb · 16 games
Stats updated: Mar 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 15.2 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 15.5 PTSPointsCool underFireFactor 24/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency42neutral
Projection
14.9 PTS(×1.04 context)
L5 13.0 · L10 14.4 · med 13.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 11.0 · ceil 20.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2016 games
44%over
7 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 23%–67%Season16 games
44%over
7 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 23%–67%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 11/16 | ||
| 63% | 10/16 | ||
| 56% | 9/16 | ||
| 15.5Current | 44% | 7/16 | |
| 38% | 6/16 | ||
| 31% | 5/16 | ||
| 31% | 5/16 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away44%4/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days40%4/10Low
Last matchup — @ TENN
Mar 20, 2026
191stof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
TENN allows 10.6 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 94 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brant Byers has gone over 15.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 44% across the full season. TENN has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 191st-most PTS of 726 teams (10.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.