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Michigan State SpartansCarson Cooper
#15 · C · 18 games
Stats updated: Mar 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 13.8 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 13.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 15/100· model 46% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency50neutral
Projection
13.3 PTS(×0.94 context)
L5 15.0 · L10 14.5 · med 14.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.0 · ceil 18.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2018 games
56%over
10 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–75%Season18 games
56%over
10 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–75%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 12/18 | ||
| 67% | 12/18 | ||
| 61% | 11/18 | ||
| 13.5Current | 56% | 10/18 | |
| 39% | 7/18 | ||
| 33% | 6/18 | ||
| 28% | 5/18 |
Situational splits
Over 13.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%5/9Low
Away56%5/9Low
Days since last game
1 day50%1/2Low
3+ days60%9/15Medium
Last matchup — @ CONN
Mar 28, 2026
122ndof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
CONN allows 8.9 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 16 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Carson Cooper has gone over 13.5 PTS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 56% across the full season. CONN has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 122nd-most PTS of 479 teams (8.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.