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UTEP MinersCassius Brooks
#23 · G · 6' 0" · 185 lb · 19 games
Stats updated: Mar 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 3.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 57% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)63supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.8 PTS(×0.93 context)
L5 2.8 · L10 2.5 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 6.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2019 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Season19 games
47%over
9 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 18/19 | ||
| 95% | 18/19 | ||
| 2.5Current | 47% | 9/19 | |
| 42% | 8/19 | ||
| 32% | 6/19 | ||
| 32% | 6/19 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%6/10Low
Away33%3/9Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)33%1/3Low
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days42%5/12Low
Last matchup — @ MTSU
Feb 27, 2026
287thof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
MTSU allows 9.9 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 90 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Cassius Brooks has gone over 2.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 47% across the full season. MTSU has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 287th-most PTS of 726 teams (9.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.