Purdue Boilermakers

Daniel Jacobsen Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Mar 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Daniel Jacobsen has gone over 9.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 2 seasons

Line

Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 10.8 PRA

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Verdict

vs 9.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 6/100· model 41% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral

Projection vs line41neutral

Consistency2argues against it

Projection

6.9 PRA(×0.90 context)

L5 6.8 · L10 8.5 · med 9.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 6.0 · ceil 15.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2020 games

45%over

9 over · 11 under

Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%

Season30 games

53%over

16 over · 14 under

Medium confidence95% CI 36%–70%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	77%	23/30
	67%	20/30
	57%	17/30
9.5Current	53%	16/30
	43%	13/30
	40%	12/30
	33%	10/30

Last 20 games — PRA per game vs. line 9.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 9.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home57%12/21Medium

Away44%4/9Low

Days since last game

1 day0%0/2Low

2 days40%2/5Low

3+ days59%13/22Medium

Last matchup — @ ARIZ

Mar 29, 2026

297thof 479 in PRA allowed to centers

ARIZ allows 11.7 PRA per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 15 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Daniel Jacobsen has gone over 9.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 53% across the full season. ARIZ has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 297th-most PRA of 479 teams (11.7 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.