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High Point PanthersDavid Fonville
#35 · G · 5 games
Stats updated: Mar 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Points · season avg 1.0 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 PTSPointsCold underFireFactor 58/100· model 77% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line77supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.7 PTS
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 105 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 205 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Season5 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 20% | 1/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home20%1/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/4Low
Last matchup — vs GWEB
Jan 8, 2026
404thof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
GWEB allows 9.2 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 106 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, David Fonville has gone over 0.5 PTS 1 of 5 decided times (20%) — versus 20% across the full season. GWEB has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 404th-most PTS of 726 teams (9.2 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 20%.