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Kent State Golden FlashesDelrecco Gillespie
#23 · F · 6' 8" · 230 lb · 23 games
Stats updated: Mar 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 20.0 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 20.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 40% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)49neutral
Projection vs line40argues against it
Consistency42neutral
Projection
16.6 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 16.6 · L10 16.8 · med 16.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 13.8 · ceil 26.6
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season23 games
52%over
12 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–71%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 14/23 | ||
| 57% | 13/23 | ||
| 57% | 13/23 | ||
| 20.5Current | 52% | 12/23 | |
| 48% | 11/23 | ||
| 35% | 8/23 | ||
| 35% | 8/23 |
Situational splits
Over 20.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%8/13Low
Away40%4/10Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days29%2/7Low
3+ days58%7/12Low
Last matchup — @ AKR
Mar 13, 2026
563rdof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
AKR allows 6.6 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 54 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Delrecco Gillespie has gone over 20.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 52% across the full season. AKR has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 563rd-most PTS of 708 teams (6.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.