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Clemson TigersDillon Hunter
#2 · G · 6' 3" · 192 lb · 21 games
Stats updated: Mar 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 8.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 8.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 8/100· model 61% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)65supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency24argues against it
Projection
7.5 PTS(×0.93 context)
L5 7.6 · L10 7.6 · med 7.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.0 · ceil 13.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season21 games
48%over
10 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–68%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 16/21 | ||
| 71% | 15/21 | ||
| 57% | 12/21 | ||
| 8.5Current | 48% | 10/21 | |
| 43% | 9/21 | ||
| 33% | 7/21 | ||
| 33% | 7/21 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home46%6/13Low
Away50%4/8Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days47%7/15Low
Last matchup — vs IOWA
Mar 20, 2026
262ndof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
IOWA allows 10.1 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 89 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dillon Hunter has gone over 8.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 48% across the full season. IOWA has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 262nd-most PTS of 726 teams (10.1 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 48%.