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Winthrop EaglesEd Nnamoko
#23 · F · 6' 10" · 230 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 7.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 6.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 38% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line38argues against it
Consistency26argues against it
Projection
8.3 PTS(×1.09 context)
L5 7.8 · L10 7.9 · med 6.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.6 · ceil 9.8
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 6.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 |
Situational splits
Over 6.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day100%1/1Low
3+ days60%3/5Low
Last matchup — vs PRES
Mar 7, 2026
394thof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
PRES allows 8.2 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 57 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Ed Nnamoko has gone over 6.5 PTS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. PRES has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 394th-most PTS of 708 teams (8.2 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.