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Colorado BuffaloesElijah Malone
#50 · C · 6' 10" · 270 lb · 20 games
Stats updated: Apr 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 6.0 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 49% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)77supports it
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
5.0 PTS(×0.99 context)
L5 4.6 · L10 4.8 · med 5.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 3.8 · ceil 7.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season20 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 17/20 | ||
| 80% | 16/20 | ||
| 70% | 14/20 | ||
| 5.5Current | 60% | 12/20 | |
| 25% | 5/20 | ||
| 15% | 3/20 | ||
| 15% | 3/20 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home59%10/17Medium
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
2 days25%1/4Low
3+ days64%9/14Medium
Last matchup — vs OU
Apr 2, 2026
259thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
OU allows 6.8 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Elijah Malone has gone over 5.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 60% across the full season. OU has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 259th-most PTS of 479 teams (6.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.