Loading…
UC Santa Barbara GauchosEvans Kipruto
#12 · C · 6' 8" · 240 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Mar 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 4.6 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)76supports it
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.2 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 2.8 · L10 5.0 · med 4.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 7.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2014 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Season14 games
57%over
8 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 33%–79%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 13/14 | ||
| 93% | 13/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 3.5Current | 57% | 8/14 | |
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 29% | 4/14 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home86%6/7Low
Away29%2/7Low
Days since last game
1 day100%2/2Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days56%5/9Low
Last matchup — vs UCSD
Mar 8, 2026
164thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
UCSD allows 8.0 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Evans Kipruto has gone over 3.5 PTS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 57% across the full season. UCSD has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 164th-most PTS of 479 teams (8.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.