
Stats updated: Mar 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Graham Ike has gone over 34.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 59% | 10/17 | ||
| 34.5Current | 59% | 10/17 | |
| 35% | 6/17 | ||
| 29% | 5/17 | ||
| 24% | 4/17 |
Over 34.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
TEX allows 14.2 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 71 player-games
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Graham Ike has gone over 34.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 59% across the full season. TEX has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 387th-most PRA of 708 teams (14.2 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 6.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 59%.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Assists hit rates and trends.
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Steals hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.