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Bellarmine KnightsJacob Wassler
#44 · C · 6' 11" · 230 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Mar 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Points · season avg 4.0 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 53% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)70supports it
Projection vs line53neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.2 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 2.8 · L10 4.0 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 7.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 2.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
3+ days43%3/7Low
Last matchup — vs JAX
Mar 4, 2026
250thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
JAX allows 6.9 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 9 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Jacob Wassler has gone over 2.5 PTS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. JAX has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 250th-most PTS of 479 teams (6.9 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.