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Alabama A&M BulldogsJames Flippin
#30 · F · 6' 10" · 275 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Mar 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 3.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 4.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 67% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.4 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 3.4 · L10 3.5 · med 3.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.0 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Season12 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 10/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 4.5Current | 42% | 5/12 | |
| 17% | 2/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 |
Situational splits
Over 4.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/2Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days29%2/7Low
Last matchup — @ TXSO
Mar 12, 2026
441stof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
TXSO allows 7.9 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, James Flippin has gone over 4.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 42% across the full season. TXSO has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 441st-most PTS of 708 teams (7.9 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.