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California Baptist LancersJordan Muller
#11 · G · 6' 0" · 24 games
Stats updated: Mar 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 5.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 44% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
4.1 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 3.0 · L10 4.3 · med 3.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 3.0 · ceil 8.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season24 games
58%over
14 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–76%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 21/24 | ||
| 58% | 14/24 | ||
| 58% | 14/24 | ||
| 5.5Current | 58% | 14/24 | |
| 38% | 9/24 | ||
| 25% | 6/24 | ||
| 17% | 4/24 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%8/13Low
Away55%6/11Low
Days since last game
1 day50%3/6Low
2 days100%4/4Low
3+ days46%6/13Low
Last matchup — @ UVU
Mar 15, 2026
324thof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
UVU allows 9.7 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 106 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jordan Muller has gone over 5.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 58% across the full season. UVU has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 324th-most PTS of 726 teams (9.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 58%.