
#5 · F · 6' 7" · 187 lb · 16 games
Stats updated: Mar 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56% | 9/16 | ||
| 1.5Current | 50% | 8/16 | |
| 38% | 6/16 | ||
| 31% | 5/16 | ||
| 19% | 3/16 |
Over 1.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
CARK allows 9.8 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 72 player-games
FavorableOver his last 10 games, Kam Clark has gone over 1.5 PTS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 50% across the full season. CARK has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 150th-most PTS of 708 teams (9.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.