Loading…
Dayton FlyersKeonte Jones Points + Rebounds + Assists
Stats updated: Mar 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Keonte Jones has gone over 16.5 PRA in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 17.6 PRASave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 16.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + AssistsCool underFireFactor 20/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency57neutral
Projection
15.9 PRA(×0.99 context)
L5 14.2 · L10 14.6 · med 14.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 14.6 · ceil 21.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season24 games
46%over
11 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–65%Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 20/24 | ||
| 79% | 19/24 | ||
| 67% | 16/24 | ||
| 16.5Current | 46% | 11/24 | |
| 42% | 10/24 | ||
| 33% | 8/24 | ||
| 33% | 8/24 |
Situational splits
Over 16.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home47%8/17Medium
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days50%2/4Low
3+ days47%8/17Medium
Last matchup — vs ILST
Mar 25, 2026
351stof 726 in PRA allowed to guards
ILST allows 14.7 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 98 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Keonte Jones has gone over 16.5 PRA 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 46% across the full season. ILST has been a middling matchup for guards this season, allowing the 351st-most PRA of 726 teams (14.7 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 4.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.
More Keonte Jones research
Keonte Jones — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Jones Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Jones Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Jones 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Jones Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
CBB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.