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Saint Joseph's HawksKhaafiq Myers
#3 · G · 5' 10" · 165 lb · 15 games
Stats updated: Mar 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 8.9 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 9.5 PTSPointsCool underFireFactor 39/100· model 66% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)83supports it
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency42neutral
Projection
8.6 PTS(×0.93 context)
L5 9.8 · L10 8.7 · med 9.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.6 · ceil 12.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2015 games
40%over
6 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 20%–64%Season15 games
40%over
6 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 20%–64%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 11/15 | ||
| 73% | 11/15 | ||
| 67% | 10/15 | ||
| 9.5Current | 40% | 6/15 | |
| 40% | 6/15 | ||
| 27% | 4/15 | ||
| 7% | 1/15 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away29%2/7Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days33%1/3Low
3+ days50%5/10Low
Last matchup — @ UNM
Mar 25, 2026
234thof 726 in PTS allowed to guards
UNM allows 10.3 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 104 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Khaafiq Myers has gone over 9.5 PTS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 40% across the full season. UNM has been a favorable matchup for guards this season, allowing the 234th-most PTS of 726 teams (10.3 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.