Loading…
Oklahoma SoonersKirill Elatontsev
#15 · C · 6' 11" · 240 lb · 13 games
Stats updated: Apr 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 6.1 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 41% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60supports it
Projection vs line41neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
4.9 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 4.8 · L10 5.1 · med 5.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 4.0 · ceil 8.2
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 85% | 11/13 | ||
| 69% | 9/13 | ||
| 5.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 | ||
| 23% | 3/13 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home83%5/6Low
Away29%2/7Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days56%5/9Low
Last matchup — @ TA&M
Mar 13, 2026
347thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
TA&M allows 5.3 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kirill Elatontsev has gone over 5.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 54% across the full season. TA&M has been a tough matchup for centers this season, allowing the 347th-most PTS of 479 teams (5.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.