Loading…
Old Dominion MonarchsKylan Howze
#10 · F · 6' 10" · 235 lb · 9 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 7 of these 9 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 4.0 PTS · our lineSave this DK Pick6 prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 PTSPointsWarm overFireFactor 47/100· model 70% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency2argues against it
Projection
4.9 PTS(×1.02 context)
L5 4.6 · L10 4.0 · med 4.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 2.6 · ceil 4.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 109 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Last 209 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Season9 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 78% | 7/9 | ||
| 3.5Current | 67% | 6/9 | |
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 11% | 1/9 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away100%3/3Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
3+ days71%5/7Low
Last matchup — vs RGNT-131784
Nov 4, 2026
121stof 436 in PTS allowed to forwards
RGNT-131784 allows 7.3 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 9 games, Kylan Howze has gone over 3.5 PTS 6 of 9 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. RGNT-131784 has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 121st-most PTS of 436 teams (7.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.