
#6 · C · 6' 10" · 240 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Jan 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 9/10 | ||
| 70% | 7/10 | ||
| 70% | 7/10 | ||
| 12.5Current | 50% | 5/10 | |
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 |
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
MRST allows 8.0 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Mouhamed Sylla has gone over 12.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. MRST has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 164th-most PTS of 479 teams (8.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 2.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.