
#35 · F · 6' 8" · 225 lb · 10 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 9 of these 10 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Nov 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 40% | 4/10 | |
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 0% | 0/10 | ||
| 0% | 0/10 |
Over 0.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
ORE allows 0.0 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughOver his last 10 games, Shaumba Ngoyi has gone over 0.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. ORE has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 430th-most PTS of 436 teams (0.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.