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UCLA BruinsSteven Jamerson II
#24 · F · 6' 10" · 230 lb · 16 games
Stats updated: Mar 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 3.2 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 58% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.7 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 2.6 · L10 2.9 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 6.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2016 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Season16 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 11/16 | ||
| 69% | 11/16 | ||
| 2.5Current | 50% | 8/16 | |
| 44% | 7/16 | ||
| 31% | 5/16 | ||
| 25% | 4/16 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%5/10Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/2Low
2 days100%1/1Low
3+ days50%6/12Low
Last matchup — vs UCF
Mar 20, 2026
116thof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
UCF allows 10.1 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 55 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Steven Jamerson II has gone over 2.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. UCF has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 116th-most PTS of 708 teams (10.1 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.