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Portland PilotsTimo George
#3 · F · 6' 8" · 245 lb · 7 games
Stats updated: Dec 31, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 13.1 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 18/100· model 53% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it
Projection vs line53neutral
Consistency55neutral
Projection
12.6 PTS(×1.00 context)
L5 13.6 · L10 13.1 · med 12.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 9.6 · ceil 16.4
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 107 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Last 207 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Season7 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 12.5Current | 43% | 3/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 29% | 2/7 | ||
| 29% | 2/7 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
3+ days40%2/5Low
Last matchup — vs WSU
Dec 28, 2025
194thof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
WSU allows 9.4 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 46 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 7 games, Timo George has gone over 12.5 PTS 3 of 7 decided times (43%) — versus 43% across the full season. WSU has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 194th-most PTS of 708 teams (9.4 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.