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Iowa HawkeyesTrevin Jirak
#27 · C · 6' 11" · 250 lb · 8 games
Stats updated: Mar 22, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- Rookie
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 6.4 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 6.5 PTSPointsCool underFireFactor 46/100· model 63% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency35argues against it
Projection
6.0 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 5.6 · L10 6.4 · med 6.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 4.0 · ceil 9.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 108 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Last 208 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Season8 games
38%over
3 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 7/8 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 6.5Current | 38% | 3/8 | |
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 38% | 3/8 | ||
| 13% | 1/8 |
Situational splits
Over 6.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home38%3/8Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
3+ days33%2/6Low
Last matchup — vs PUR
Feb 14, 2026
197thof 479 in PTS allowed to centers
PUR allows 7.6 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 13 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 8 games, Trevin Jirak has gone over 6.5 PTS 3 of 8 decided times (38%) — versus 38% across the full season. PUR has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 197th-most PTS of 479 teams (7.6 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.