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Vanderbilt CommodoresTyler Harris
#8 · F · 6' 7" · 202 lb · 19 games
Stats updated: Mar 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 8.0 PTSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 5.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)56neutral
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
5.6 PTS(×0.90 context)
L5 5.2 · L10 7.1 · med 5.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 3.0 · ceil 14.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2019 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Season19 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 18/19 | ||
| 63% | 12/19 | ||
| 58% | 11/19 | ||
| 5.5Current | 53% | 10/19 | |
| 47% | 9/19 | ||
| 47% | 9/19 | ||
| 47% | 9/19 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%8/12Low
Away29%2/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low
1 day100%2/2Low
3+ days50%7/14Low
Last matchup — @ MIZ
Feb 19, 2026
395thof 708 in PTS allowed to forwards
MIZ allows 8.2 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 58 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyler Harris has gone over 5.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 53% across the full season. MIZ has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 395th-most PTS of 708 teams (8.2 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.