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San Francisco GiantsAndrew Gilbert
#0 · CF · 5-9 · 195 lb · 70 games
Stats updated: Jul 31, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.7 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 47% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.7 H(×0.87 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 0.7 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season70 games
53%over
37 over · 33 under
High confidence95% CI 41%–64%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 53% | 37/70 | |
| 14% | 10/70 | ||
| 4% | 3/70 | ||
| 1% | 1/70 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%19/34Medium
Away50%18/36Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)56%25/45Medium
1 day47%8/17Medium
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Matt Chapman out · Not Specified Abdomen Strain+0.1 H when he sits
Without (17g)
0.8 H
59% over 0.5
With (53g)
0.7 H
51% over 0.5
Casey Schmitt out · Left Knee Surgery-0.5 H when he sits
Without (4g)
0.3 H
25% over 0.5
With (66g)
0.8 H
55% over 0.5
Next matchup — @ SD
Aug 1, 2026
15thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
SD pitching allows 8.2 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 110 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Andrew Gilbert has gone over 0.5 H 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 53% across the full season. SD has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 15th-most H of 30 teams (8.2 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.