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Los Angeles DodgersBlake Treinen
#49 · P · 6-5 · 225 lb · 29 games
Stats updated: Jun 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 13 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.9 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListBlake Treinen isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Elbow Inflammation
- Est. return:
- Aug 9, 2026
Treinen landed on the injured list in late June due to right elbow inflammation, but the good news was that an MRI did not show signs of structural damage. He was cleared to play catch before the All-Star break and is ready to take the next step in his recovery by throwing off a mound. The Dodgers should have a better sense of Treinen's recovery timeline once the veteran right-hander is cleared to embark on a rehab assignment.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)87supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
1.1 K
L5 1.4 · L10 1.1 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season29 games
62%over
18 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 44%–77%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 62% | 18/29 | |
| 17% | 5/29 | ||
| 7% | 2/29 | ||
| 0% | 0/29 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home79%11/14Medium
Away47%7/15Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)83%5/6Low
1 day60%3/5Low
2 days43%3/7Low
3+ days60%6/10Low
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Dalton Rushing out · Right Elbow Strain-0.3 K when he sits
Without (16g)
0.8 K
56% over 0.5
With (13g)
1.0 K
69% over 0.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Blake Treinen has gone over 0.5 K 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 62% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles Dodgers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.08)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 62%.