Loading…
Colorado RockiesBlas Castano
#63 · P · 5-10 · 162 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Jun 16, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 1.7 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListBlas Castano isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Pectoral Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 6, 2026
Castano will need more than a week to build up as he works his way back from a right pectoral strain, so he doesn't appear to be in line to return from the 15-day injured list until after the All-Star break. Before landing on the shelf June 21, Castano turned in a 3.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 17:6 K:BB in 20.2 innings over 10 appearances out of the Colorado bullpen.
Verdict
vs 1.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency12argues against it
Projection
1.4 K
L5 1.4 · L10 1.7 · med 2.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.2
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Season10 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 9/10 | ||
| 1.5Current | 60% | 6/10 | |
| 20% | 2/10 | ||
| 0% | 0/10 | ||
| 0% | 0/10 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%4/4Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days60%3/5Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Blas Castano has gone over 1.5 K 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Coors Field · Colorado Rockies
hitter-friendly (runs ×1.20, HR ×1.16)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.