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Detroit TigersBrant Hurter
#48 · P · 6-6 · 250 lb · 21 games
Stats updated: May 22, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.9 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListBrant Hurter isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Back Inflammation
- Est. return:
- Aug 11, 2026
Hurter is working his way back from lumbar spine inflammation, which has kept him on the shelf since May 24. He's eligible to come off the 60-day injured list at any time but will need to complete a rehab assignment prior to being reinstated.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 61% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.9 K
L5 0.8 · L10 1.1 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season21 games
62%over
13 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 41%–79%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 62% | 13/21 | |
| 24% | 5/21 | ||
| 0% | 0/21 | ||
| 0% | 0/21 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%5/9Low
Away67%8/12Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day67%6/9Low
2 days50%3/6Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Wenceel Pérez out · Left Orbital Fracture-0.2 K when he sits
Without (7g)
0.7 K
57% over 0.5
With (14g)
0.9 K
64% over 0.5
Parker Meadows out · Left Arm Surgery+0.4 K when he sits
Without (17g)
0.9 K
71% over 0.5
With (4g)
0.5 K
25% over 0.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Brant Hurter has gone over 0.5 K 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 62% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Comerica Park · Detroit Tigers
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.96, HR ×0.91)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 62%.