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Los Angeles DodgersBrock Stewart
#41 · P · 6-3 · 220 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Jul 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 1.0 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListBrock Stewart isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Shoulder Tendinitis
- Est. return:
- Aug 15, 2026
The Dodgers will shut Stewart down from throwing for three days before reevaluating him, at which point he may be cleared to start up a throwing program. The 34-year-old righty noted that he's been having problems with his shoulder for about a week, and although it didn't have much of an impact on his throwing, he and the team didn't want to risk it developing into something more severe once the postseason arrives.
Verdict
vs 1.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 70% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)90supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.9 K
L5 1.0 · L10 1.0 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2014 games
36%over
5 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 16%–61%Season14 games
36%over
5 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 16%–61%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 1.5Current | 36% | 5/14 | |
| 0% | 0/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 | ||
| 0% | 0/14 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home29%2/7Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
1 day20%1/5Low
2 days25%1/4Low
3+ days50%2/4Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Brock Stewart has gone over 1.5 K 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 36% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles Dodgers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.08)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.