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Texas RangersCal Quantrill
#44 · P · 6-3 · 195 lb · 32 games
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Canada
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 2.5 K · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Injured ListInjured ListCal Quantrill isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Lat Strain
- Est. return:
- Oct 5, 2026
Quantrill exited Saturday's start against the Blue Jays after 1.1 scoreless frames due to lat tightness, and the injury will sideline him for the final week of the regular season. It brings an early end to a resurgent campaign for the right-hander, who posted a 2.86 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 81:25 K:BB across 110 innings. The Rangers currently have a one-game advantage in the AL West, though it's unclear if Quantrill will be ready to return during a potential playoff run.
Verdict
vs 3 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)76supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
3.1 K
L5 4.2 · L10 4.2 · med 4.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Season32 games
35%over
11 over · 20 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 21%–53%Situational splits
Over 3 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%4/16Medium
Away47%7/15Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days0%0/2Low
3+ days40%10/25Medium
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kyle Higashioka out · Right Forearm Strain+1.8 K when he sits
Without (21g)
3.1 K
50% over 3
With (11g)
1.4 K
9% over 3
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Cal Quantrill has gone over 3 K 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 35% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Market edgeauto
6 books @ 3.5 K- No-vig fair (over)
- 42.5%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 57.5%
Best Over
DraftKings+133
-1.1% EV
Best Under
RT Sports-137
-0.5% EV
Model vs market (over)-4.2%
Our model puts the over at 38.3% vs the market's no-vig 42.5%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (3.5 K). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 35%.