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Kansas City RoyalsCarlos Estévez
#53 · P · 6-6 · 277 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Mar 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.0 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListCarlos Estévez isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Shoulder Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 20, 2026
Estevez had been shut down since receiving an injection July 1 for a right rotator cuff strain. While it's a positive sign to see the veteran back throwing, the extent of his activity is unknown and figures to be limited, with the Royals expected to proceed cautiously given the series of setbacks the right-hander has faced since landing on the injured list April 1, originally due to a left foot contusion. An exact timeline remains unclear and will depend on how he responds to the throwing progression, but Estevez likely won't be nearing a return to the big-league roster until later in August.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Projection
0.0 K
L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 101 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Last 201 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Season1 game
0%over
0 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away0%0/1Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 1 games, Carlos Estévez has gone over 0.5 K 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City Royals
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×0.93)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.