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New York YankeesCody Bellinger
#35 · LF · 6-3 · 204 lb · 100 games
Stats updated: Jul 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListCody Bellinger isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Sep 1, 2026
Bellinger seems to be making progress from the left hamstring strain he suffered in late July. Still, the veteran outfielder isn't expected to be activated from the IL until late August or early September. The Yankees acquired Heliot Ramos in a trade with San Francisco on Monday, providing some depth in the outfield with Bellinger and Aaron Judge (ribs) both currently sidelined.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
1.0 H(×0.87 context)
L5 1.2 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
90%over
9 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 60%–98%Last 2020 games
70%over
14 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 48%–85%Season100 games
67%over
67 over · 33 under
High confidence95% CI 57%–75%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 67% | 67/100 | |
| 23% | 23/100 | ||
| 5% | 5/100 | ||
| 1% | 1/100 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home78%36/46High
Away57%31/54Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)61%46/75High
1 day81%17/21Medium
3+ days100%1/1Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Aaron Judge out · Right Ribs Fracture
Without (43g)
0.9 H
63% over 0.5
With (57g)
1.0 H
70% over 0.5
Giancarlo Stanton out · Right Calf Strain
Without (78g)
0.9 H
64% over 0.5
With (22g)
1.0 H
77% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs ATL
Aug 8, 2026
27thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
ATL pitching allows 7.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Cody Bellinger has gone over 0.5 H 9 of 10 decided times (90%) — versus 67% across the full season. ATL has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 27th-most H of 30 teams (7.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Yankee Stadium · New York Yankees
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.12)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.