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Los Angeles DodgersDalton Rushing
#68 · C · 6-0 · 220 lb · 60 games
Stats updated: Sep 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.9 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListDalton Rushing isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Elbow Soreness
- Est. return:
- Sep 22, 2026
If Rushing ends up returning, he would be limited to serving as a designated hitter or pinch hitter off the bench since his injured right elbow hasn't been responding well to throwing. The 25-year-old has made tremendous strides as a hitter during his second big-league season, slashing .249/.332/.466 with 12 home runs in 250 plate appearances before landing on the shelf Sept. 6.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.6 H(×0.87 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 0.8 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season60 games
58%over
35 over · 25 under
High confidence95% CI 46%–70%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 58% | 35/60 | |
| 18% | 11/60 | ||
| 8% | 5/60 | ||
| 5% | 3/60 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home55%16/29Medium
Away61%19/31Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)59%13/22Medium
1 day57%13/23Medium
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days50%5/10Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Shohei Ohtani out · Left Biceps Inflammation-0.4 H when he sits
Without (9g)
0.6 H
44% over 0.5
With (51g)
1.0 H
61% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs SD
Sep 22, 2026
19thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
SD pitching allows 8.0 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 156 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dalton Rushing has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 58% across the full season. SD has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 19th-most H of 30 teams (8.0 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles Dodgers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.08)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 58%.