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Cincinnati RedsDane Myers
#17 · CF · 6-0 · 205 lb · 66 games
Stats updated: Sep 23, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.9 HSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDane Myers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Shoulder Surgery
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Myers spent time on the injured list this season with the AC joint issue. The cleanup procedure should not affect Myers' availability for the beginning of spring training. Myers slashed .268/.352/.425 versus lefties in 2026 and should at least have a short-side platoon role with the Reds in 2027.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)93supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.6 H(×0.90 context)
L5 0.4 · L10 0.6 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
65%over
13 over · 7 under
Medium confidence95% CI 43%–82%Season66 games
65%over
43 over · 23 under
High confidence95% CI 53%–76%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 65% | 43/66 | |
| 20% | 13/66 | ||
| 5% | 3/66 | ||
| 0% | 0/66 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%22/33Medium
Away64%21/33Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)61%14/23Medium
1 day81%17/21Medium
2 days71%5/7Low
3+ days38%5/13Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Blake Dunn out · Right Elbow Surgery+0.3 H when he sits
Without (54g)
0.9 H
69% over 0.5
With (12g)
0.7 H
50% over 0.5
Spencer Steer out · Right Wrist Surgery+0.2 H when he sits
Without (38g)
1.0 H
68% over 0.5
With (28g)
0.8 H
61% over 0.5
Last matchup — @ ATL
Sep 23, 2026
25thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
ATL pitching allows 7.8 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 162 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dane Myers has gone over 0.5 H 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 65% across the full season. ATL has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 25th-most H of 30 teams (7.8 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati Reds
hitter-friendly (runs ×1.05, HR ×1.18)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 65%.