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San Francisco GiantsDaniel Susac
#6 · C · 6-5 · 210 lb · 40 games
Stats updated: Aug 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 0.9 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListDaniel Susac isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee Fracture
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Susac was diagnosed with a fractured left patella earlier in the day Monday and is unlikely to return this season. Zach Morgan had his contract selected from Triple-A Sacramento in a corresponding move.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line39argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
0.4 H(×0.82 context)
L5 0.2 · L10 0.6 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season40 games
53%over
21 over · 19 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–67%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 53% | 21/40 | |
| 28% | 11/40 | ||
| 8% | 3/40 | ||
| 0% | 0/40 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home39%7/18Medium
Away64%14/22Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%5/10Low
1 day47%9/19Medium
2 days75%3/4Low
3+ days50%3/6Low
Next matchup — @ LAD
Sep 20, 2026
30thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
LAD pitching allows 7.2 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 155 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Daniel Susac has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 53% across the full season. LAD has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 30th-most H of 30 teams (7.2 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Oracle Park · San Francisco Giants
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.92, HR ×0.85)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.