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Cincinnati RedsEdwin Arroyo RBIs
Stats updated: Jul 29, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Edwin Arroyo has gone over 0.5 RBI in 1 of his last 10 decided games (10%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Country
- Puerto Rico
- Experience
- Rookie
Linepays more
RBIs · season avg 0.1 RBI · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — RBIs (RBI)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Verdict
vs 0.5 RBIRBIsNo readFireFactor 2/100· model 17% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)0argues against it
Projection vs line27argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
0.2 RBI(×1.13 context)
L5 0.2 · L10 0.1 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Scored against this payout variant's ~35% breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for its payout, not a coin flip. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
10%over
1 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 2%–40%Last 2020 games
10%over
2 over · 18 under
Medium confidence95% CI 3%–30%Season36 games
14%over
5 over · 31 under
High confidence95% CI 6%–29%Situational splits
Over 0.5 RBI by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home12%2/17Medium
Away16%3/19Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)9%2/23High
1 day0%0/5Medium
2 days25%1/4Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
With a teammate out
How this RBI line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Blake Dunn out · Right Elbow Surgery
Without (23g)
0.2 RBI
17% over 0.5
With (13g)
0.1 RBI
8% over 0.5
Spencer Steer out · Right Wrist Sprain
Without (7g)
0.1 RBI
14% over 0.5
With (29g)
0.1 RBI
14% over 0.5
Next matchup — @ WSH
Aug 8, 2026
3rdof 30 in RBI allowed to hitters
WSH pitching allows 5.0 RBI per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 118 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Edwin Arroyo has gone over 0.5 RBI 1 of 10 decided times (10%) — versus 14% across the full season. WSH has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 3rd-most RBI of 30 teams (5.0 per game). His game-to-game RBI have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati Reds
hitter-friendly (runs ×1.05, HR ×1.18)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate. This demon/goblin/alternate line pays the over only — no under to price.
Over only — this payout variant doesn't take an under.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 14%.
More Edwin Arroyo research
Edwin Arroyo — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Arroyo Total Bases→
Total Bases hit rates and trends.
Arroyo Home Runs→
Home Runs hit rates and trends.
Arroyo Runs→
Runs hit rates and trends.
Arroyo Stolen Bases→
Stolen Bases hit rates and trends.
Pitching Allowed by team→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
MLB Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.