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Los Angeles AngelsGeorge Klassen
#58 · P · 6-2 · 195 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Aug 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 4.0 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListGeorge Klassen isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Back Inflammation
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
While Klassen's bullpen sessions have been going well, the Angels have no reason to rush him back at this stage. Klassen made four starts in August in his return to the big club, posting an encouraging 2.01 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over 22.1 innings. He should compete for a spot in the starting rotation in spring training, health permitting.
Verdict
vs 3.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 43% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency32argues against it
Projection
4.1 K
L5 4.0 · L10 4.0 · med 3.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.0 · ceil 5.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 106 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 206 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season6 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 6/6 | ||
| 100% | 6/6 | ||
| 83% | 5/6 | ||
| 3.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 | ||
| 17% | 1/6 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%2/5Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 6 games, George Klassen has gone over 3.5 K 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Angel Stadium · Los Angeles Angels
neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×1.02)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.