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Texas RangersJakob Junis
#16 · P · 6-3 · 238 lb · 36 games
Stats updated: Jul 28, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 0.8 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListJakob Junis isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Thigh Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 13, 2026
It's unclear when or how Junis was injured, but it will cost him at least the next two weeks of action. Junis has been one of the Rangers' best relievers this season, logging a 2.70 ERA and 30:7 K:BB over 40 frames. His spot on the roster and in the bullpen will be taken by Winston Santos.
Verdict
vs 0.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 51% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)74supports it
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.6 K
L5 0.6 · L10 0.8 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2020 games
70%over
14 over · 6 under
Medium confidence95% CI 48%–85%Season36 games
56%over
20 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 40%–70%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 56% | 20/36 | |
| 19% | 7/36 | ||
| 6% | 2/36 | ||
| 3% | 1/36 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%8/16Medium
Away60%12/20Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%3/6Low
1 day33%3/9Low
2 days44%4/9Low
3+ days82%9/11Medium
With a teammate out
How this K line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Kyle Higashioka out · Right Forearm Strain-0.4 K when he sits
Without (20g)
0.7 K
50% over 0.5
With (16g)
1.1 K
63% over 0.5
Michael Helman out · Right Hand Fracture-0.8 K when he sits
Without (32g)
0.8 K
56% over 0.5
With (4g)
1.5 K
50% over 0.5
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 10 games, Jakob Junis has gone over 0.5 K 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 56% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.