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Colorado RockiesJose Quintana
#62 · P · 6-2 · 224 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: May 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Colombia
- Experience
- 15 seasons
Line
Strikeouts (pitcher) · season avg 2.2 K · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListJose Quintana isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Elbow Sprain
- Est. return:
- Aug 28, 2026
Quintana is set to throw long toss Saturday, and he'll end the session with eight throws off the mound. That will lead into his first bullpen session since initially being sidelined with a sprained elbow.
Verdict
vs 1.5 KStrikeouts (pitcher)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.1 K
L5 2.2 · L10 2.2 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 3.4
Matchup
—
no matchup
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 109 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Last 209 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Season9 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Alternate lines — Strikeouts (pitcher) (K)
K over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 1.5Current | 67% | 6/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 11% | 1/9 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 K by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home75%3/4Low
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days63%5/8Low
No matchup data for this prop yet.
The read
Over his last 9 games, Jose Quintana has gone over 1.5 K 6 of 9 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. His game-to-game K have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Coors Field · Colorado Rockies
hitter-friendly (runs ×1.20, HR ×1.16)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.