#44 · P · 6-5 · 230 lb · 0 games
No decided games at this line yet — no read.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Joseph Musgrove has no recent decided games against a 0.5 K line. His game-to-game K have been variable (σ ≈ —), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Petco Park · San Diego Padres
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.95, HR ×0.96)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.