Loading…
AthleticsJoshua Kuroda-Grauer
#44 · 3B · 5-10 · 205 lb · 16 games
Stats updated: Jul 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Hits · season avg 1.6 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListJoshua Kuroda-Grauer isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Groin Surgery
- Est. return:
- Sep 25, 2026
Kuroda-Grauer started at designated hitter and went hitless, but his return to game action for the first time since July 20 was a positive development after he underwent surgery for a ruptured testicle. He likely won't return to the Athletics' active roster this season, though the possibility hasn't been fully ruled out, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports. In 16 games at the big-league level, Kuroda-Grauer impressed with a .417/.435/.583 slash line, a homer, four RBI and eight runs scored.
Verdict
vs 1.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 42% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
1.8 H(×1.22 context)
L5 1.4 · L10 1.6 · med 1.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2016 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Season16 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 14/16 | ||
| 1.5Current | 50% | 8/16 | |
| 19% | 3/16 | ||
| 0% | 0/16 | ||
| 0% | 0/16 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home44%4/9Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)42%5/12Low
1 day50%1/2Low
3+ days100%1/1Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jacob Wilson out · Left Shoulder Surgery-0.1 H when he sits
Without (6g)
1.5 H
50% over 1.5
With (10g)
1.6 H
50% over 1.5
Tyler Soderstrom out · Left Hip Surgery+0.1 H when he sits
Without (8g)
1.6 H
50% over 1.5
With (8g)
1.5 H
50% over 1.5
Next matchup — vs LAA
Sep 22, 2026
20thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
LAA pitching allows 7.9 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 156 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer has gone over 1.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LAA has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 20th-most H of 30 teams (7.9 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Sutter Health Park · Athletics
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×1.03)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.