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Kansas City RoyalsKameron Misner
#26 · CF · 6-3 · 220 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Jul 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Hits · season avg 0.8 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 42% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.4 H(×0.95 context)
L5 0.2 · L10 0.6 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2012 games
58%over
7 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 32%–81%Season12 games
58%over
7 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 32%–81%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 58% | 7/12 | |
| 17% | 2/12 | ||
| 0% | 0/12 | ||
| 0% | 0/12 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)60%3/5Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days67%2/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Maikel Garcia out · Left Hand Strain-0.8 H when he sits
Without (7g)
0.4 H
43% over 0.5
With (5g)
1.2 H
80% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs CHC
Aug 8, 2026
14thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CHC pitching allows 8.2 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 117 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kameron Misner has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 58% across the full season. CHC has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 14th-most H of 30 teams (8.2 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City Royals
neutral (runs ×1.02, HR ×0.93)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 58%.