Stats updated: Jul 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Konnor Griffin has gone over 0.5 RBI in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
Griffin was given an 8-to-10-week return timeline when he landed on the injured list Tuesday with a torn tendon in his left ring finger, so the Pirates will stash him away on the 60-day IL, ruling him out until at least Sept. 4. The move opens up a spot on the 40-man roster to help make room for Brandon Eisert and Jacob Gonzalez, both of whom were acquired in a trade with the White Sox on Friday.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
RBI over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 30% | 17/57 | |
| 11% | 6/57 | ||
| 2% | 1/57 | ||
| 0% | 0/57 |
Over 0.5 RBI by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
How this RBI line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
NYM pitching allows 4.4 RBI per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 117 games
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Konnor Griffin has gone over 0.5 RBI 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 30% across the full season. NYM has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 12th-most RBI of 30 teams (4.4 per game). His game-to-game RBI have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
PNC Park · Pittsburgh Pirates
neutral (runs ×0.97, HR ×0.90)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 30%.
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.