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Texas RangersKyle Higashioka
#11 · C · 6-1 · 202 lb · 48 games
Stats updated: Jul 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.7 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListKyle Higashioka isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Forearm Strain
- Est. return:
- Aug 7, 2026
Higashioka will get some rest after starting at catcher each of the last two days. Elias Diaz will be behind the dish for the Rangers in Monday's series opener.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup100supports it
Projection
0.6 H(×0.99 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.5 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season48 games
52%over
25 over · 23 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–66%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 52% | 25/48 | |
| 15% | 7/48 | ||
| 2% | 1/48 | ||
| 0% | 0/48 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%13/21Medium
Away44%12/27Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)25%3/12Medium
1 day63%12/19Medium
2 days56%5/9Low
3+ days57%4/7Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Michael Helman out · Right Hand Fracture-0.4 H when he sits
Without (42g)
0.6 H
48% over 0.5
With (6g)
1.0 H
83% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs BAL
Aug 8, 2026
7thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
BAL pitching allows 8.6 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 116 games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kyle Higashioka has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 52% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 7th-most H of 30 teams (8.6 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Globe Life Field · Texas Rangers
neutral (runs ×1.00, HR ×1.00)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.