Chicago White Sox

Kyle Teel Walks

Stats updated: Jul 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kyle Teel has gone over 0.5 BB in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: USA
Experience: 2 seasons

Line

PrizePicksWalks · season avg 0.4 BB · our line

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Injured ListKyle Teel isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Ankle Sprain
Est. return:: Sep 8, 2026

When Teel was placed on the injured list, his timeline to return was unclear. The White Sox have since announced that Teel will be sidelined at least six weeks, or until the beginning of September. He's had a frustrating 2026 season, as he was unable to make his debut until June 22 due to a hamstring injury he suffered during the World Baseball Classic.

Verdict

vs 0.5 BBWalks

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 77% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line77supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.2 BB(×0.82 context)

L5 0.4 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2015 games

33%over

5 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 15%–58%

Season15 games

33%over

5 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 15%–58%

Alternate lines — Walks (BB)

BB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BB line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	33%	5/15
	7%	1/15
	0%	0/15
	0%	0/15

Last 15 games — BB per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 BB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home38%3/8Low

Away29%2/7Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)20%1/5Low

1 day50%4/8Low

3+ days0%0/1Low

Next matchup — vs CLE

Aug 8, 2026

18thof 30 in BB allowed to hitters

CLE pitching allows 3.2 BB per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 117 games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Kyle Teel has gone over 0.5 BB 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 33% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 18th-most BB of 30 teams (3.2 per game). His game-to-game BB have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Rate Field · Chicago White Sox

neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.06)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.