Loading…
San Diego PadresMiguel Andujar
#41 · DH · 6-0 · 211 lb · 62 games
Stats updated: Jul 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 10 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 1.0 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListMiguel Andujar isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Wrist Fracture
- Est. return:
- Aug 21, 2026
Andujar was struck by a Lucas Erceg pitch during Sunday's win over the Royals. He remained in that contest, but subsequent testing revealed a fracture. The Padres have not revealed a timetable for Andujar, but he will likely be sideline at least 4-to-6 weeks. With Andujar shelved, the Padres could utilize Manny Machado in the designated hitter spot and Sung-Mun Song at third base.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)81supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.7 H(×0.92 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 1.0 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season62 games
63%over
39 over · 23 under
High confidence95% CI 50%–74%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 63% | 39/62 | |
| 26% | 16/62 | ||
| 8% | 5/62 | ||
| 0% | 0/62 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home58%18/31Medium
Away68%21/31Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)56%22/39Medium
1 day75%9/12Medium
2 days100%5/5Medium
3+ days60%3/5Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Ramón Laureano out · Right Hip Surgery
Without (21g)
1.0 H
48% over 0.5
With (41g)
1.0 H
71% over 0.5
Samad Taylor out · Right Oblique Strain-0.2 H when he sits
Without (55g)
0.9 H
62% over 0.5
With (7g)
1.1 H
71% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs HOU
Aug 8, 2026
22ndof 30 in H allowed to hitters
HOU pitching allows 7.9 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 117 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Miguel Andujar has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 63% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 22nd-most H of 30 teams (7.9 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Petco Park · San Diego Padres
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.95, HR ×0.96)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 63%.