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Cleveland GuardiansPeter Halpin
#0 · CF · 5-11 · 200 lb · 32 games
Stats updated: Aug 7, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- USA
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.7 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 53% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line53neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.9 H(×0.94 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 0.8 · med 0.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season32 games
53%over
17 over · 15 under
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–69%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 53% | 17/32 | |
| 16% | 5/32 | ||
| 3% | 1/32 | ||
| 0% | 0/32 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home53%8/15Low
Away53%9/17Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)56%10/18Medium
1 day25%1/4Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days60%3/5Low
Next matchup — @ CWS
Aug 8, 2026
21stof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CWS pitching allows 8.0 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 115 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Peter Halpin has gone over 0.5 H 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 53% across the full season. CWS has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 21st-most H of 30 teams (8.0 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Progressive Field · Cleveland Guardians
neutral (runs ×0.98, HR ×0.97)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.