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San Diego PadresRamón Laureano
#5 · LF · 5-9 · 203 lb · 48 games
Stats updated: May 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Dominican Republic
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.8 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListRamón Laureano isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Hip Surgery
- Est. return:
- Feb 1, 2027
Manager Craig Stammen said that Laureano's surgery is expected to keep him out for 4-to-5 months, making it extremely unlikely that he plays again this season. If the 31-year-old isn't able to make it back before the end of the year, he'll finish 2026 with a .203/.286/.374 slash line alongside seven homers, 21 RBI, 23 runs and seven steals over 53 games. Gavin Sheets will likely take over as San Diego's primary left fielder for the rest of the regular season, which will allow Ty France to start regularly at first base.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 45% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)61supports it
Projection vs line45neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.4 H(×0.87 context)
L5 0.4 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season48 games
56%over
27 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 42%–69%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 56% | 27/48 | |
| 17% | 8/48 | ||
| 4% | 2/48 | ||
| 0% | 0/48 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home65%17/26Medium
Away45%10/22Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)61%19/31Medium
1 day50%7/14Low
2 days0%0/2Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Miguel Andujar out · Right Wrist Fracture+0.5 H when he sits
Without (10g)
1.2 H
70% over 0.5
With (38g)
0.7 H
53% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs HOU
Aug 8, 2026
22ndof 30 in H allowed to hitters
HOU pitching allows 7.9 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 117 games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Ramón Laureano has gone over 0.5 H 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 56% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 22nd-most H of 30 teams (7.9 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Petco Park · San Diego Padres
pitcher-friendly (runs ×0.95, HR ×0.96)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.